Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Employment Growth
Across New York Counties
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Employment Growth
New York:
2010-2022 = 4.06%
2022 = 9.78%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real estate and rental and leasing employment growth across all of New York's 62 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this New York Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real estate and rental and leasing employment growth of New York's 62 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Employment Growth
New York:
2010-2022 = 4.06%
2022 = 9.78%
This figure displays the 62 counties of New York as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real estate and rental and leasing employment growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real estate and rental and leasing employment growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real estate and rental and leasing employment growth exceeded the statewide average of 4.06%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 4.06% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real estate and rental and leasing employment growth rate trailed the statewide average (4.06%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 19 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 40 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 41 counties whose most recent (2022) real estate and rental and leasing employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (9.78%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 18 counties whose real estate and rental and leasing employment growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 62 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 4.06% over 2010-2022 and 9.78% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real estate and rental and leasing employment growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (4.06%) and near-term (9.78%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real estate and rental and leasing employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (4.06%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the New York average (9.78%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real estate and rental and leasing employment growth rate fell below the statewide average (4.06%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (9.78%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real estate and rental and leasing employment growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (4.06%) and near-term (9.78%).
   
 
Summary of New York's 62 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(9.78%)
Above
(9.78%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(4.06%)
2
17
19
Below
(4.06%)
16
24
40
 
18
41
59
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
New York:
2010-2022 = 4.06%
2022 = 9.78%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the New York counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed New York's average annual real estate and rental and leasing employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 4.06%) as well as near-term (2022 = 9.78%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real estate and rental and leasing employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of New York's 62 counties, 17 (27%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
New York:
2010-2022 = 4.06%
2022 = 9.78%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 2 New York counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real estate and rental and leasing employment growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 4.06%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 9.78%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real estate and rental and leasing employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Only 2 (3%) of New York's 62 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
New York:
2010-2022 = 4.06%
2022 = 9.78%
This figure shows the distribution of the 24 New York counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real estate and rental and leasing employment growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 4.06%), while they outpaced New York's average near-term (2022 = 9.78%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real estate and rental and leasing employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of New York's 62 counties, 39% (24) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
New York:
2010-2022 = 4.06%
2022 = 9.78%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 16 New York counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real estate and rental and leasing employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 4.06%) as well as near-term (2022 = 9.78%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real estate and rental and leasing employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
26% of New York's counties, 16 of 62, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
New York
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Employment Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
5
5.15
 
42
9.86
2,340
 
17
4.19
 
24
10.53
966
 
13
4.31
 
9
11.77
1,092
 
12
4.43
 
29
10.19
1,157
 
10
4.72
 
12
11.23
1,436
 
1
6.59
 
31
10.18
109,412
 
3
5.40
 
19
10.75
104,628
 
18
4.12
 
7
12.08
3,600
 
16
4.27
 
6
13.11
509
 
8
4.85
 
26
10.34
75,802
 
6
4.99
 
34
10.09
14,473
 
2
6.40
 
18
10.75
17,944
 
14
4.31
 
17
10.76
8,397
 
11
4.43
 
15
10.87
62,283
 
15
4.28
 
2
19.04
694
 
19
4.11
 
22
10.57
6,150
 
4
5.25
 
10
11.48
709
Slipping Counties
 
9
4.83
 
45
9.51
2,799
 
7
4.94
 
60
4.76
660
Gaining Counties
 
29
3.53
 
4
13.70
971
 
48
2.59
 
33
10.12
1,556
 
28
3.57
 
37
10.04
10,123
 
22
3.86
 
23
10.54
26,890
 
43
2.93
 
5
13.43
1,056
 
57
1.54
 
38
10.03
867
 
37
3.02
 
28
10.19
1,211
 
39
2.96
 
8
11.88
1,224
 
40
2.95
 
41
9.89
23,891
 
50
2.55
 
1
21.81
726
 
55
1.82
 
40
9.95
3,879
 
49
2.56
 
35
10.09
14,487
 
20
4.02
 
16
10.78
12,231
 
33
3.16
 
14
11.04
1,569
 
34
3.09
 
30
10.18
1,364
 
27
3.61
 
11
11.30
3,634
 
35
3.07
 
13
11.21
3,352
 
42
2.94
 
3
14.25
457
 
56
1.74
 
32
10.12
446
 
41
2.94
 
36
10.07
1,388
 
46
2.66
 
21
10.66
2,305
 
47
2.63
 
39
9.99
2,500
 
21
3.87
 
20
10.67
996
 
32
3.19
 
27
10.19
58,485
Lagging Counties
 
31
3.37
 
46
9.29
12,745
 
59
1.09
 
52
8.83
345
 
51
2.50
 
59
7.23
24,368
 
45
2.77
 
57
7.68
4,837
 
53
2.07
 
58
7.34
1,111
 
25
3.70
 
43
9.77
1,326
 
58
1.49
 
44
9.65
1,954
 
44
2.80
 
47
9.27
1,520
 
54
2.03
 
56
8.26
747
 
24
3.74
 
51
8.98
886
 
38
3.02
 
49
9.16
2,491
 
36
3.03
 
55
8.41
224,286
 
52
2.19
 
48
9.26
1,298
 
30
3.44
 
50
9.11
3,580
 
23
3.86
 
53
8.73
2,716
 
26
3.61
 
54
8.71
1,373
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
S
S
127
 
U
U
 
25
10.51
347
 
U
U
 
S
S
320
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
4.06
 
9.78
877,036
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3.63
 
10.26
11,832,200
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1500N_511100_LSGL
 
   
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