Erie County vs. New York
Comparative Trends Analysis:
Total Personal Income Growth and Change, 1969-2022
Introduction
Erie County vs. New York
Erie County:
2022 TPI = $54,594,961K
2022 Percent of State = 3.68%
New York:
2022 TPI = $1,483,802,284K
2022 Percent of U.S. = 6.80%
The annual total personal incomes (TPI) estimates compiled by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, (BEA) are among the most comprehensive, consistent, comparable and timely measures of economic activity available statewide and at the national levels. Personal income estimates are also the best available local level indicator of general purchasing power, and are therefore central to tracking and comparing county patterns of economic growth and change.
The following graphs highlight trends in the pattern of growth and change in the total personal income of Erie County and New York with comparison to the nation. The data used are those compiled by the Regional Income and Product Divisions of the Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce. The 2017 constant dollar (real) estimates of total personal income reported in the tables and portrayed graphically below are determined using the Implicit Price Deflator for Personal Consumption.
Data Definition:
Personal income is the income received by persons from participation in production, plus transfer receipts from government and business, plus government interest (which is treated like a transfer receipt). It is defined as the sum of wages and salaries, supplements to wages and salaries, proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments, rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment, personal dividend income, personal interest income, and personal current transfer receipts, less contributions for government social insurance. Because the personal income of an area represents the income that is received by, or on behalf of, all the persons who live in that area, and because the estimates of some components of personal income (wages and salaries, supplements to wages and salaries, and contributions for government social insurance) are made on a place-of-work basis, state personal income includes an adjustment for residence. The residence adjustment represents the net flow of compensation (less contributions for government social insurance) of interstate commuters.
Erie County Total Personal Income, 1970-2022
Current vs. Constant Dollars (Millions)
Erie County Total Personal Income, 1970-2022
Current vs. Constant Dollars (Millions)
Figure 1.
Figure 1 depicts Erie County's annual total personal income over 1970-2022 in current and constant (2017) dollars. Constant dollar measurements remove the effects of inflation. They allow for comparison of changes in the real purchasing power of Erie County over time.
When measured in current dollars, Erie County's total personal income increased 1,056.50%, from $4,721M in 1970 to $54,595M in 2022. When measured in constant 2017 dollars to adjust for inflation, it advanced 96.99%, from $23,883M in 1970 to $47,047M in 2022.
Real Total Personal Income, 1969-2022 (Millions)
Real Total Personal Income, 1969-2022 (Millions)
Figure 2.
Figure 2 tracks Erie County's and New York's annual real total personal income for the period 1969-2022 to illustrate real total personal income patterns over time. During this 54-year period, Erie County's real total personal income rose from $23,537M in 1969 to $47,047M in 2022, for a net gain of $23,510M, or 99.89%. In comparison, New York's real total personal income increased from $442,865M in 1969 to $1,278,666M in 2022, for a net gain of $835,801M, or 188.73%.
Real Total Personal Income Indices (1969=100): 1969-2022
Real Total Personal Income Indices (1969=100): 1969-2022
Figure 3.
Figure 3 shows Erie County's real total personal income growth in a broader context by offering direct comparisons across time with New York, the United States. The growth indices shown here express each region's real total personal income in 1969 as a base figure of 100, and the real total personal incomes in later years as a percentage of the 1969 base figure. This method allows for more direct comparison of differences in real total personal income growth between regions that may differ vastly in size.
Erie County's overall real total personal income growth was 99.89% over 1969-2022 trailed New York's increase of 188.73%, and fell below the United States' increase of 348.76%.
Total Personal Income as a Percent of the New York Total: 1969-2022
Total Personal Income as a Percent of the New York Total: 1969-2022
Figure 4.
Another interesting and insightful way of contrasting the total personal income growth of Erie County is to compare its individual percentage contributions to New York's statewide total personal income over time, as shown in Figure 4. A rising share means a region's total personal income grew faster, or declined less, than New York's total personal income, while a declining share shows it grew more slowly.
In 1969, Erie County's total personal income comprised 5.31% of New York's total personal income, while in 2022 it comprised 3.68% thereby yielding a -1.64% share-shift.
   
 
Total Personal Income Share-Shift
2022 vs. 1969
 
Share-
Shift*
 
2022
vs.
1969
-1.64%
=
3.68%
-
5.31%
 
   
Erie County Real Total Personal Income:
Annual Percent Change, 1970-2022
Erie County Real Total Personal Income:
Annual Percent Change, 1970-2022
Figure 5.
Figure 5 shows the short-run pattern of Erie County's real total personal income growth by tracking the year-to-year percent change over 1970-2022. The average annual percent change for the entire 53-year period is also traced on this chart to provide a benchmark for gauging periods of relative high--and relative low--growth against the backdrop of the long-term average.
On average, Erie County's real total personal income grew at an annual rate of 1.34% over 1970-2022. The county posted its highest growth in 2020 (8.55%) and recorded its lowest growth in 2022 (-7.19%). In 2022, Erie County's real total personal income declined by -7.19%
Erie County Real Total Personal Income:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2022
Erie County Real Total Personal Income:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2022
Figure 6.
Over the past five decades some counties have experienced extreme swings in growth, and often such swings have tended to coincide with the decades themselves. Figure 6 again depicts the annual percent change in Erie County's real total personal income since 1970, but this time they are overlayed with average growth rates for the decade of the 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, 2000s, 2010s, and 2020-2022.
During the 1970s, Erie County's annual real total personal income growth rate averaged 1.24%. It averaged 1.63% in the 1980s, 1.48% during the 1990s, 0.84% throughout the 2000s, 1.66% in the 2010s, 0.81% thus far this decade (2020-2022).
Real Total Personal Income Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Real Total Personal Income Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Figure 7.
Figure 7 compares the decade average growth rates for Erie County noted in the previous graph with the corresponding decade averages for New York and the nation. As the chart reveals, Erie County's average annual real total personal income growth registered above New York's average in the 1970s (1.24% vs. 1.10%), lagged New York's average in the 1980s (1.63% vs. 3.64%), posted below New York's average in the 1990s (1.48% vs. 2.30%), fell below New York's average during the 2000s (0.84% vs. 1.48%), posted below New York's average throughout the 2010s (1.66% vs. 2.45%), and surpassed New York's average over the 3 year period of the current decade, 2020-2022 (0.81% vs. -0.35%).
Finally, relative to nationwide real total personal income growth trends, Erie County posted below the nation in the 1970s (1.24% vs. 3.50%), trailed the nation in the 1980s (1.63% vs. 3.16%), fell under the nation during the 1990s (1.48% vs. 3.27%), trailed the nation during the 2000s (0.84% vs. 2.06%), lagged the nation over the 2010s (1.66% vs. 2.72%), and posted below the nation over 2020-2022 (0.81% vs. 2.10%).
   
 
Real* Total Personal Income Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change
 
 
 
1.34
1.24
1.63
1.48
0.84
1.66
0.81
-7.19
 
2.05
1.10
3.64
2.30
1.48
2.45
-0.35
-7.58
 
2.89
3.50
3.16
3.27
2.06
2.72
2.10
-4.19
 
   

Interactive TableTip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
Erie County:
Total Personal Income, 1969-2022
 
1969
 
4,444,440
0.189
23,536,726
100.0
N
5.31
1970
 
4,720,713
0.198
23,882,996
101.5
1.47
5.25
1971
 
5,073,567
0.206
24,622,990
104.6
3.10
5.28
1972
 
5,366,972
0.213
25,187,592
107.0
2.29
5.22
1973
 
5,825,775
0.225
25,944,222
110.2
3.00
5.32
1974
 
6,281,513
0.248
25,335,833
107.6
-2.34
5.32
1975
 
6,769,036
0.269
25,201,176
107.1
-0.53
5.31
1976
 
7,285,600
0.283
25,714,185
109.3
2.04
5.40
1977
 
7,914,867
0.302
26,229,013
111.4
2.00
5.43
1978
 
8,535,042
0.323
26,443,927
112.4
0.82
5.38
1979
 
9,347,617
0.351
26,598,802
113.0
0.59
5.39
1980
 
10,169,489
0.389
26,123,841
111.0
-1.79
5.26
1981
 
11,109,268
0.424
26,191,838
111.3
0.26
5.16
1982
 
11,720,572
0.448
26,178,937
111.2
-0.05
5.01
1983
 
12,281,645
0.467
26,312,548
111.8
0.51
4.86
1984
 
13,396,223
0.484
27,655,862
117.5
5.11
4.80
1985
 
14,171,087
0.501
28,269,803
120.1
2.22
4.74
1986
 
14,938,742
0.512
29,166,407
123.9
3.17
4.68
1987
 
15,535,386
0.528
29,421,965
125.0
0.88
4.58
1988
 
16,684,282
0.549
30,409,700
129.2
3.36
4.47
1989
 
17,876,317
0.573
31,219,009
132.6
2.66
4.43
1990
 
19,092,319
0.598
31,940,308
135.7
2.31
4.42
1991
 
19,474,386
0.618
31,525,214
133.9
-1.30
4.50
1992
 
20,419,226
0.634
32,196,824
136.8
2.13
4.47
1993
 
20,812,249
0.650
32,018,845
136.0
-0.55
4.43
1994
 
21,569,841
0.664
32,506,241
138.1
1.52
4.45
1995
 
22,496,651
0.678
33,203,429
141.1
2.14
4.41
1996
 
23,144,091
0.692
33,443,768
142.1
0.72
4.31
1997
 
24,109,069
0.704
34,242,432
145.5
2.39
4.25
1998
 
24,969,984
0.710
35,185,345
149.5
2.75
4.16
1999
 
26,007,894
0.720
36,121,573
153.5
2.66
4.09
2000
 
27,437,195
0.738
37,166,692
157.9
2.89
4.02
2001
 
27,312,341
0.753
36,270,406
154.1
-2.41
3.85
2002
 
27,732,211
0.763
36,350,567
154.4
0.22
3.92
2003
 
28,605,343
0.779
36,723,423
156.0
1.03
3.99
2004
 
29,722,500
0.798
37,233,643
158.2
1.39
3.97
2005
 
29,958,058
0.821
36,477,721
155.0
-2.03
3.85
2006
 
31,365,187
0.844
37,144,940
157.8
1.83
3.75
2007
 
32,994,511
0.866
38,096,818
161.9
2.56
3.67
2008
 
34,541,037
0.892
38,736,164
164.6
1.68
3.75
2009
 
34,884,472
0.889
39,230,859
166.7
1.28
3.85
2010
 
36,109,241
0.905
39,893,542
169.5
1.69
3.83
2011
 
37,514,685
0.928
40,423,565
171.7
1.33
3.77
2012
 
38,770,305
0.945
41,012,022
174.2
1.46
3.73
2013
 
39,080,167
0.958
40,801,586
173.4
-0.51
3.72
2014
 
40,092,282
0.971
41,280,755
175.4
1.17
3.68
2015
 
41,787,569
0.973
42,947,583
182.5
4.04
3.67
2016
 
42,605,292
0.983
43,349,164
184.2
0.94
3.62
2017
 
44,705,180
1.000
44,705,180
189.9
3.13
3.56
2018
 
45,947,707
1.020
45,026,024
191.3
0.72
3.54
2019
 
47,834,020
1.035
46,210,640
196.3
2.63
3.56
2020
 
52,485,608
1.046
50,160,661
213.1
8.55
3.74
2021
 
55,256,800
1.090
50,693,847
215.4
1.06
3.66
2022
 
54,594,961
1.160
47,047,182
199.9
-7.19
3.68
Source: Calculations by the New York Regional Economic Analysis Project (NY-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1400_300_PSN
 
   

Interactive TableTip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
New York:
Total Personal Income, 1969-2022
 
1969
 
83,626,257
0.189
442,865,313
100.0
N
10.57
1970
 
89,895,425
0.198
454,798,265
102.7
2.69
10.51
1971
 
96,121,001
0.206
466,493,574
105.3
2.57
10.40
1972
 
102,833,594
0.213
482,605,566
109.0
3.45
10.12
1973
 
109,571,703
0.225
487,961,269
110.2
1.11
9.67
1974
 
118,064,617
0.248
476,201,416
107.5
-2.41
9.48
1975
 
127,413,860
0.269
474,362,844
107.1
-0.39
9.35
1976
 
134,980,837
0.283
476,408,559
107.6
0.43
9.02
1977
 
145,640,377
0.302
482,636,456
109.0
1.31
8.82
1978
 
158,583,699
0.323
491,336,284
110.9
1.80
8.55
1979
 
173,371,724
0.351
493,332,169
111.4
0.41
8.36
1980
 
193,336,283
0.389
496,650,953
112.1
0.67
8.36
1981
 
215,436,642
0.424
507,925,597
114.7
2.27
8.31
1982
 
234,154,698
0.448
523,005,289
118.1
2.97
8.43
1983
 
252,718,689
0.467
541,431,762
122.3
3.52
8.51
1984
 
279,066,436
0.484
576,119,317
130.1
6.41
8.52
1985
 
298,925,027
0.501
596,323,466
134.7
3.51
8.52
1986
 
319,272,979
0.512
623,348,716
140.8
4.53
8.59
1987
 
339,348,059
0.528
642,680,313
145.1
3.10
8.63
1988
 
373,424,007
0.549
680,623,361
153.7
5.90
8.76
1989
 
403,530,094
0.573
704,720,655
159.1
3.54
8.76
1990
 
432,353,696
0.598
723,301,875
163.3
2.64
8.83
1991
 
433,087,824
0.618
701,084,314
158.3
-3.07
8.54
1992
 
457,070,947
0.634
720,704,741
162.7
2.80
8.45
1993
 
469,679,135
0.650
722,583,285
163.2
0.26
8.32
1994
 
484,265,850
0.664
729,799,641
164.8
1.00
8.16
1995
 
510,311,719
0.678
753,183,161
170.1
3.20
8.13
1996
 
536,942,300
0.692
775,894,542
175.2
3.02
8.06
1997
 
567,116,455
0.704
805,483,056
181.9
3.81
8.02
1998
 
600,087,225
0.710
845,586,294
190.9
4.98
7.91
1999
 
635,242,742
0.720
882,269,332
199.2
4.34
7.96
2000
 
683,214,301
0.738
925,488,745
209.0
4.90
7.93
2001
 
709,417,581
0.753
942,096,599
212.7
1.79
7.89
2002
 
707,561,130
0.763
927,450,328
209.4
-1.55
7.74
2003
 
717,555,330
0.779
921,194,611
208.0
-0.67
7.57
2004
 
749,469,308
0.798
938,866,935
212.0
1.92
7.49
2005
 
777,653,227
0.821
946,891,067
213.8
0.85
7.38
2006
 
836,022,632
0.844
990,078,910
223.6
4.56
7.40
2007
 
899,609,888
0.866
1,038,726,533
234.5
4.91
7.54
2008
 
920,456,535
0.892
1,032,249,114
233.1
-0.62
7.41
2009
 
906,188,251
0.889
1,019,093,635
230.1
-1.27
7.52
2010
 
943,392,743
0.905
1,042,261,687
235.3
2.27
7.52
2011
 
995,231,357
0.928
1,072,401,359
242.2
2.89
7.48
2012
 
1,039,791,605
0.945
1,099,912,841
248.4
2.57
7.48
2013
 
1,051,798,103
0.958
1,098,128,129
248.0
-0.16
7.48
2014
 
1,090,000,795
0.971
1,122,312,162
253.4
2.20
7.38
2015
 
1,137,082,289
0.973
1,168,647,457
263.9
4.13
7.35
2016
 
1,176,654,694
0.983
1,197,198,622
270.3
2.44
7.41
2017
 
1,255,776,700
1.000
1,255,776,700
283.6
4.89
7.54
2018
 
1,298,669,006
1.020
1,272,618,505
287.4
1.34
7.41
2019
 
1,343,066,325
1.035
1,297,485,654
293.0
1.95
7.32
2020
 
1,405,028,826
1.046
1,342,790,487
303.2
3.49
7.16
2021
 
1,508,135,064
1.090
1,383,597,457
312.4
3.04
7.05
2022
 
1,483,802,284
1.160
1,278,665,912
288.7
-7.58
6.80
Source: Calculations by the New York Regional Economic Analysis Project (NY-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1400_300_PSN
 
   

Interactive TableTip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
United States:
Total Personal Income, 1969-2022
 
1969
 
791,229,000
0.189
4,190,165,758
100.0
N
1970
 
855,525,000
0.198
4,328,265,709
103.3
3.30
1971
 
924,613,000
0.206
4,487,323,465
107.1
3.67
1972
 
1,016,408,000
0.213
4,770,076,966
113.8
6.30
1973
 
1,133,468,000
0.225
5,047,731,018
120.5
5.82
1974
 
1,244,912,000
0.248
5,021,223,733
119.8
-0.53
1975
 
1,362,505,000
0.269
5,072,617,275
121.1
1.02
1976
 
1,495,704,000
0.283
5,279,017,400
126.0
4.07
1977
 
1,651,632,000
0.302
5,473,329,799
130.6
3.68
1978
 
1,855,849,000
0.323
5,749,934,936
137.2
5.05
1979
 
2,073,296,000
0.351
5,899,598,782
140.8
2.60
1980
 
2,313,972,000
0.389
5,944,235,512
141.9
0.76
1981
 
2,590,995,000
0.424
6,108,676,176
145.8
2.77
1982
 
2,777,640,000
0.448
6,204,105,336
148.1
1.56
1983
 
2,969,333,000
0.467
6,361,584,112
151.8
2.54
1984
 
3,275,415,000
0.484
6,761,937,695
161.4
6.29
1985
 
3,508,482,000
0.501
6,999,046,441
167.0
3.51
1986
 
3,717,756,000
0.512
7,258,548,586
173.2
3.71
1987
 
3,931,800,000
0.528
7,446,308,852
177.7
2.59
1988
 
4,264,433,000
0.549
7,772,592,728
185.5
4.38
1989
 
4,605,107,000
0.573
8,042,309,775
191.9
3.47
1990
 
4,897,332,000
0.598
8,192,943,538
195.5
1.87
1991
 
5,072,291,000
0.618
8,211,045,100
196.0
0.22
1992
 
5,406,546,000
0.634
8,524,985,809
203.5
3.82
1993
 
5,643,648,000
0.650
8,682,535,385
207.2
1.85
1994
 
5,933,938,000
0.664
8,942,579,420
213.4
3.00
1995
 
6,278,125,000
0.678
9,266,058,093
221.1
3.62
1996
 
6,660,854,000
0.692
9,625,094,288
229.7
3.87
1997
 
7,068,422,000
0.704
10,039,373,926
239.6
4.30
1998
 
7,584,003,000
0.710
10,686,661,406
255.0
6.45
1999
 
7,978,449,000
0.720
11,081,025,264
264.5
3.69
2000
 
8,620,234,000
0.738
11,677,052,911
278.7
5.38
2001
 
8,990,104,000
0.753
11,938,732,039
284.9
2.24
2002
 
9,146,700,000
0.763
11,989,225,466
286.1
0.42
2003
 
9,474,684,000
0.779
12,163,560,736
290.3
1.45
2004
 
10,008,929,000
0.798
12,538,275,270
299.2
3.08
2005
 
10,540,800,000
0.821
12,834,755,927
306.3
2.36
2006
 
11,291,446,000
0.844
13,372,153,008
319.1
4.19
2007
 
11,925,044,000
0.866
13,769,145,681
328.6
2.97
2008
 
12,423,410,000
0.892
13,932,275,429
332.5
1.18
2009
 
12,058,253,000
0.889
13,560,635,845
323.6
-2.67
2010
 
12,547,501,000
0.905
13,862,497,514
330.8
2.23
2011
 
13,299,818,000
0.928
14,331,082,712
342.0
3.38
2012
 
13,905,749,000
0.945
14,709,785,897
351.1
2.64
2013
 
14,063,283,000
0.958
14,682,748,144
350.4
-0.18
2014
 
14,778,160,000
0.971
15,216,235,418
363.1
3.63
2015
 
15,467,113,000
0.973
15,896,476,839
379.4
4.47
2016
 
15,884,741,000
0.983
16,162,082,333
385.7
1.67
2017
 
16,658,962,000
1.000
16,658,962,000
397.6
3.07
2018
 
17,514,402,000
1.020
17,163,073,878
409.6
3.03
2019
 
18,343,601,000
1.035
17,721,060,157
422.9
3.25
2020
 
19,609,985,000
1.046
18,741,324,605
447.3
5.76
2021
 
21,392,812,000
1.090
19,626,252,970
468.4
4.72
2022
 
21,820,248,000
1.160
18,803,588,325
448.8
-4.19
Source: Calculations by the New York Regional Economic Analysis Project (NY-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1400_300_PN
 
   
Copyright © 2023. Pacific Northwest Regional Economic Analysis Project (PNREAP). All Rights Reserved.

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