Washington County vs. New York
Comparative Trends Analysis:
Population Growth and Change, 1969-2016
Introduction
Washington County:
2016 Population = 61,800
2016 Percent of State = 0.3%
New York:
2016 Population = 19,745,289
2016 Percent of State = 6.1%
Attracting and retaining people to live, work, raise a family, and retire underlies the economic vitality of any region. Population growth is both a cause--and a consequence--of economic growth. Patterns of population growth and change reflect differences among regions to attract and retain people both as producers and consumers in their economy.
The following graphs offer a broad overview of trends in the pattern of population growth and change of Washington County with comparisons to New York and the nation at large. This analysis features alternative approaches toward discussing, diagnosing and comparing Washington County vs. New York's population growth over 1969-2016. The data used are those compiled by the Regional Income and Product Divisions of the Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce.
Population, 1969-2016
Population, 1969-2016
Figure 1.
Figure 1 tracks Washington County's annual population for the period 1969-2016 to illustrate population patterns over time. During this 48-year period, Washington County's population rose from 52,443 in 1969 to 61,800 in 2016, for a net gain of 9,357, or 17.8%.
NOTE: The county and state population totals reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) are from the Bureau of Census midyear (July 1) estimates. These estimates may differ from those prepared independently in some states by various agencies and/or universities.
Population, 1969-2016
Population, 1969-2016
Figure 2.
Figure 2 tracks New York's annual population for the period 1969-2016 to illustrate population patterns over time. During this 48-year period, New York's population rose from 18,105,000 in 1969 to 19,745,289 in 2016, for a net gain of 1,640,289, or 9.1%.
NOTE: The county and state population totals reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) are from the Bureau of Census midyear (July 1) estimates. These estimates may differ from those prepared independently in some states by various agencies and/or universities.
Population Indices (1969=100): 1969-2016
Population Indices (1969=100): 1969-2016
Figure 3.
Figure 3 shows Washington County's population growth in a broader context by offering direct comparisons across time with New York, the United States. The growth indices shown here express each region's population in 1969 as a base figure of 100, and the populations in later years as a percentage of the 1969 base figure. This method allows for more direct comparison of differences in population growth between regions that may differ vastly in size.
Washington County's overall population growth was 17.8% over 1969-2016 outpaced New York's increase of 9.1%, and fell below the United States' increase of 60.5%.
Population as a Percent of the New York Total: 1969-2016
Population as a Percent of the New York Total: 1969-2016
Figure 4.
Another interesting and insightful way of highlighting the population growth of Washington County is to compare its individual percentage contributions to New York's statewide population over time, as shown in Figure 4. A rising share means a region's population grew faster—or declined less—than New York's population, while a declining share shows it grew more slowly.
In 1969, Washington County's population totaled 0.29% of New York's population, while in 2016 it totaled 0.31% thereby yielding a +0.02% share-shift.
   
 
Population Share-Shift
2016 vs. 1969
 
Share-
Shift*
 
2016
vs.
1969
+0.02%
=
0.31%
-
0.29%
 
   
Washington County Population:
Annual Percent Change, 1970-2016
Washington County Population:
Annual Percent Change, 1970-2016
Figure 5.
Figure 5 highlights the short-run pattern of Washington County's population growth by tracking the year-to-year percent change over 1970-2016. The average annual percent change for the entire 47-year period is also traced on this chart to provide a benchmark for gauging periods of relative high--and relative low--growth against the backdrop of the long-term average.
On average, Washington County's population grew at an annual rate of 0.35% over 1970-2016. The county recorded its highest growth in 1971 (1.57%) and recorded its lowest growth in 1974 (-1.13%). In 2016, Washington County's population declined by -0.70%
Washington County Population:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2016
Washington County Population:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2016
Figure 6.
Over the past four decades some counties have experienced extreme swings in growth, and often such swings have tended to coincide with the decades themselves. Figure 6 again shows the annual percent change in Washington County's population since 1970, but this time they are overlayed with average growth rates for the decade of the 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, 2000s, and 2010-2016.
During the 1970s, Washington County's annual population growth rate averaged 0.55%. It averaged 0.61% in the 1980s, 0.37% during the 1990s, 0.33% throughout the 2000s, and -0.29% thus far this decade (2010 to 2016).
Population Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Population Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Figure 7.
Figure 7 compares the decade average growth rates for Washington County noted in the previous graph with the corresponding decade averages for New York and the nation. As the chart reveals, Washington County's average annual population growth recorded above New York's average in the 1970s (0.55% vs. -0.26%), registered above New York's average in the 1980s (0.61% vs. 0.20%), posted below New York's average during the 1990s (0.37% vs. 0.49%), led New York's average in the 2000s (0.33% vs. 0.22%), and trailed New York's average over the 7 year period of the last decade, 2010-2016 (-0.29% vs. 0.32%).
Finally, relative to nationwide population growth trends, Washington County trailed the nation during the 1970s (0.55% vs. 1.10%), posted below the nation during the 1980s (0.61% vs. 0.95%), fell below the nation in the 1990s (0.37% vs. 1.23%), fell under the nation during the 2000s (0.33% vs. 0.95%), and recorded underneath the nation over 2010-2016 (-0.29% vs. 0.74%).
   
 
Population Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change
 
 
 
0.35
0.55
0.61
0.37
0.33
-0.29
-0.70
 
0.19
-0.26
0.20
0.49
0.22
0.32
-0.01
 
1.01
1.10
0.95
1.23
0.95
0.74
0.70
 
   
   
 
Washington County:
Population, 1969-2016
 
1969
 
52,443
100.0
N
0.29
1970
 
52,946
101.0
0.96
0.29
1971
 
53,776
102.5
1.57
0.29
1972
 
54,547
104.0
1.43
0.30
1973
 
54,512
103.9
-0.06
0.30
1974
 
53,894
102.8
-1.13
0.30
1975
 
54,726
104.4
1.54
0.30
1976
 
55,279
105.4
1.01
0.31
1977
 
55,364
105.6
0.15
0.31
1978
 
55,514
105.9
0.27
0.31
1979
 
55,364
105.6
-0.27
0.31
1980
 
54,771
104.4
-1.07
0.31
1981
 
54,575
104.1
-0.36
0.31
1982
 
54,737
104.4
0.30
0.31
1983
 
54,910
104.7
0.32
0.31
1984
 
55,347
105.5
0.80
0.31
1985
 
55,942
106.7
1.08
0.31
1986
 
56,601
107.9
1.18
0.32
1987
 
57,477
109.6
1.55
0.32
1988
 
58,282
111.1
1.40
0.32
1989
 
58,819
112.2
0.92
0.33
1990
 
59,507
113.5
1.17
0.33
1991
 
60,120
114.6
1.03
0.33
1992
 
60,482
115.3
0.60
0.33
1993
 
60,902
116.1
0.69
0.33
1994
 
60,860
116.0
-0.07
0.33
1995
 
61,225
116.7
0.60
0.33
1996
 
61,278
116.8
0.09
0.33
1997
 
60,950
116.2
-0.54
0.33
1998
 
60,851
116.0
-0.16
0.32
1999
 
61,043
116.4
0.32
0.32
2000
 
60,977
116.3
-0.11
0.32
2001
 
61,142
116.6
0.27
0.32
2002
 
61,152
116.6
0.02
0.32
2003
 
61,621
117.5
0.77
0.32
2004
 
62,278
118.8
1.07
0.32
2005
 
62,468
119.1
0.31
0.33
2006
 
62,771
119.7
0.49
0.33
2007
 
63,054
120.2
0.45
0.33
2008
 
63,252
120.6
0.31
0.33
2009
 
63,077
120.3
-0.28
0.33
2010
 
63,321
120.7
0.39
0.33
2011
 
63,112
120.3
-0.33
0.32
2012
 
63,066
120.3
-0.07
0.32
2013
 
62,777
119.7
-0.46
0.32
2014
 
62,442
119.1
-0.53
0.32
2015
 
62,238
118.7
-0.33
0.32
2016
 
61,800
117.8
-0.70
0.31
Source: Calculations by the New York Regional Economic Analysis Project (NY-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2017
REAP_PI_CA1400_100_PSN
 
   
   
 
New York:
Population, 1969-2016
 
1969
 
18,105,000
100.0
N
8.99
1970
 
18,271,605
100.9
0.92
8.97
1971
 
18,364,865
101.4
0.51
8.88
1972
 
18,351,767
101.4
-0.07
8.77
1973
 
18,194,767
100.5
-0.86
8.61
1974
 
18,072,768
99.8
-0.67
8.47
1975
 
18,032,254
99.6
-0.22
8.37
1976
 
17,974,654
99.3
-0.32
8.26
1977
 
17,851,507
98.6
-0.69
8.12
1978
 
17,720,421
97.9
-0.73
7.98
1979
 
17,633,646
97.4
-0.49
7.85
1980
 
17,566,754
97.0
-0.38
7.73
1981
 
17,567,731
97.0
0.01
7.66
1982
 
17,589,737
97.2
0.13
7.59
1983
 
17,686,907
97.7
0.55
7.57
1984
 
17,745,676
98.0
0.33
7.52
1985
 
17,791,678
98.3
0.26
7.48
1986
 
17,833,421
98.5
0.23
7.43
1987
 
17,868,844
98.7
0.20
7.38
1988
 
17,941,309
99.1
0.41
7.34
1989
 
17,983,084
99.3
0.23
7.29
1990
 
18,020,784
99.5
0.21
7.22
1991
 
18,122,510
100.1
0.56
7.16
1992
 
18,246,653
100.8
0.69
7.11
1993
 
18,374,954
101.5
0.70
7.07
1994
 
18,459,470
102.0
0.46
7.02
1995
 
18,524,104
102.3
0.35
6.96
1996
 
18,588,460
102.7
0.35
6.90
1997
 
18,656,546
103.0
0.37
6.84
1998
 
18,755,906
103.6
0.53
6.80
1999
 
18,882,725
104.3
0.68
6.77
2000
 
19,001,780
105.0
0.63
6.73
2001
 
19,082,838
105.4
0.43
6.70
2002
 
19,137,800
105.7
0.29
6.65
2003
 
19,175,939
105.9
0.20
6.61
2004
 
19,171,567
105.9
-0.02
6.55
2005
 
19,132,610
105.7
-0.20
6.47
2006
 
19,104,631
105.5
-0.15
6.40
2007
 
19,132,335
105.7
0.15
6.35
2008
 
19,212,436
106.1
0.42
6.32
2009
 
19,307,066
106.6
0.49
6.29
2010
 
19,402,640
107.2
0.50
6.27
2011
 
19,519,529
107.8
0.60
6.26
2012
 
19,602,769
108.3
0.43
6.24
2013
 
19,673,546
108.7
0.36
6.22
2014
 
19,718,515
108.9
0.23
6.19
2015
 
19,747,183
109.1
0.15
6.15
2016
 
19,745,289
109.1
-0.01
6.11
Source: Calculations by the New York Regional Economic Analysis Project (NY-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2017
REAP_PI_CA1400_100_PSN
 
   
   
 
United States:
Population, 1969-2016
 
1969
 
201,298,000
100.0
N
1970
 
203,798,722
101.2
1.24
1971
 
206,817,509
102.7
1.48
1972
 
209,274,882
104.0
1.19
1973
 
211,349,205
105.0
0.99
1974
 
213,333,635
106.0
0.94
1975
 
215,456,585
107.0
1.00
1976
 
217,553,859
108.1
0.97
1977
 
219,760,875
109.2
1.01
1978
 
222,098,244
110.3
1.06
1979
 
224,568,579
111.6
1.11
1980
 
227,224,719
112.9
1.18
1981
 
229,465,744
114.0
0.99
1982
 
231,664,432
115.1
0.96
1983
 
233,792,014
116.1
0.92
1984
 
235,824,907
117.2
0.87
1985
 
237,923,734
118.2
0.89
1986
 
240,132,831
119.3
0.93
1987
 
242,288,936
120.4
0.90
1988
 
244,499,004
121.5
0.91
1989
 
246,819,222
122.6
0.95
1990
 
249,622,814
124.0
1.14
1991
 
252,980,941
125.7
1.35
1992
 
256,514,224
127.4
1.40
1993
 
259,918,588
129.1
1.33
1994
 
263,125,821
130.7
1.23
1995
 
266,278,393
132.3
1.20
1996
 
269,394,284
133.8
1.17
1997
 
272,646,925
135.4
1.21
1998
 
275,854,104
137.0
1.18
1999
 
279,040,168
138.6
1.15
2000
 
282,162,411
140.2
1.12
2001
 
284,968,955
141.6
0.99
2002
 
287,625,193
142.9
0.93
2003
 
290,107,933
144.1
0.86
2004
 
292,805,298
145.5
0.93
2005
 
295,516,599
146.8
0.93
2006
 
298,379,912
148.2
0.97
2007
 
301,231,207
149.6
0.96
2008
 
304,093,966
151.1
0.95
2009
 
306,771,529
152.4
0.88
2010
 
309,348,193
153.7
0.84
2011
 
311,663,358
154.8
0.75
2012
 
313,998,379
156.0
0.75
2013
 
316,204,908
157.1
0.70
2014
 
318,563,456
158.3
0.75
2015
 
320,896,618
159.4
0.73
2016
 
323,127,513
160.5
0.70
Source: Calculations by the New York Regional Economic Analysis Project (NY-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2017
REAP_PI_CA1400_100_PN
 
   
Copyright © 2017. Pacific Northwest Regional Economic Analysis Project (PNREAP). All Rights Reserved.

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